Sustainable Aviation Fuels 2030
Sustainable Aviation Fuels are a key element for the reduction of aviation-related carbon emissions. Despite demonstrated in-flight usability and approved production pathways using sustainable resources such as waste oils from a biological origin, agricultural residues, or non-fossil CO2, the availability of substantial SAF volumes is still minor – in Germany, Europe and globally.
The SAF 2030 study by CBR gives a holistic overview on current market and technology developments until 2030.
Accelerated formation of SAF cross-industry consortia representing leaving room for new entrants addressing regulatory driven SAF demand.
In 2030, SAF production capacity is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand, with a substantial portion already contracted by traders and airlines.
Various player are entering the SAF market, from the traditional Oil & Gas business, energy sector as well as project and technology developers, leveraging existing infrastructure, feedstocks and technologies.
Amongst eight ASTM approved production pathways, HEFA is clearly the leading SAF technology at present with production on commercial scale.
SAF Production vs. Global Jet Fuel Demand
In 2030, SAF supply is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand based on current production capacity ramp-up.
Despite a growing number of >100 announced SAF projects, a small group of SAF players cover the majority of SAF supply in the future, leading to an oligopoly market structure.
More details on the Sustainable Aviation Fuels market and our perspective could be found in the full SAF 2030 Study by CBR.